Third Quarter 2023 Outlook: what do we expect in the markets in the coming months?

Marketing Communication

Please refer to the Prospectus and the KID before making any final investment decisions.



Plenisfer Investments SGR

Markets consider the fight against inflation as almost won, but we remain less optimistic in this new era of "higher for longer" rates, reminding ourselves that inflation remains a very volatile economic variable that proceeds in waves, and in the past has required much higher real rates than we have today in the United States. Persistent factors such as wage dynamics, imbalances in the supply and demand for strategic commodities, and recent developments in global value chains (such as the relocation of some activities) will help keep it higher than expected between now and the end of 2023.


On the equity side, we believe that equity risk should be monitored and managed with caution in the coming months because 2024 could be a year of economic weakness. Our management team remains focused on companies that will benefit from the new market paradigm, characterized by a structural rise in the cost of money and the need to reconvert part of the global supply chain, especially on the energy front. In particular, the structural scarcity of supply in the commodity sector used in the energy transition is a key issue for long-term investment theses. In fact, the focus allocations in our portfolio remain energy sector, industrial stocks, and commodities. Our focus now is precisely on commodity prices, particularly oil. Rising energy costs, which many are underestimating, will affect disposable income and thus growth in 2024. We do not believe in a no-landing, even though it is becoming the central narrative in the markets at the moment, because despite the interest rate hike both the U.S. economy and the stock markets have held up well for now. In the face of a restrictive monetary policy, the U.S. has implemented a very expansionary fiscal policy, which is unlikely to lead to a recession in a scenario where we see such a large fiscal maneuver. This may not exclude a possible recession in 2024, which will be an election year for the U.S. presidential election: one must also keep in mind the lagged effects of monetary policy.


Also in equities, we remain focused on opportunities related to themes such as:


- oil stocks, which are investing in the energy transition or in emission capture technologies;

- uranium, because we look at nuclear power as a good solution in the long run to solve the problem of replacements for traditional energy sources; 

- reshoring, with the reorganization of logistics supply chains, particularly investing in companies that optimize logistics rather than the robotization of agriculture; 

- artificial intelligence, although it has been a central theme in the technology rally in the first half of the year: we think we are just at the beginning of a new technological transformation and are trying to understand how AI can impact existing businesses. One example is the Japanese company Advantest, one of two in the world to conduct testing for semiconductor companies. This example well represents our approach focused on riding secular trends and non-mainstream investment ideas.


Turning to the bond front, we see good opportunities in Europe: we are particularly interested in both the financial and energy sectors. U.S. corporate bonds seem riskier to us because the spread does not reflect the risk of the U.S. economic slowdown. Our portfolio also has an important bond component on emerging countries as well as global energy. In particular, on emerging we see opportunities in Latin America where you can find dollar issues that yield 6/7 percent, competitive values compared to equities. Countries like Mexico and Brazil have had higher yields than bonds in Western bond markets because of their economic resilience and have not lowered rates to zero, defending the strength of their currencies.


Finally, the escalation of tensions in the Middle East following the terrorist attack on Israel are likely to open a new front of war and geopolitical risk, possibly affecting oil prices and risky assets.






Fund Factsheet - Plenisfer Investments Sicav Société d'investissement à capital variable (SICAV) Luxembourg" - Destination Value Total Return ("Fund" or "Sub-Fund")

Marketing communication for professional investors in Italy.

Please refer to the Prospectus and KID before making any final investment decisions.

Investment Objective and Policy: The objective of this Sub-Fund is to achieve a superior risk-adjusted total return over the market cycle. The goal is value creation through risk-adjusted total return. Achieving long-term capital appreciation and underlying income through a long-term focus on valuation and market cycles is key to achieving the Sub-Fund's objectives.

Legal structure: UCITS - SICAV

Investment Manager: Plenisfer Investments SGR S.p.A.

Management Company: Generali Investments Luxembourg S.A.

Launch date: 04/05/2020 (share class EUR ACCUMULATION)

Benchmark for performance fee calculation only: SOFR Index 

Subscription/Redemption process: Valuation day, 13:00 Luxembourg time (T)/ Redemption: Valuation day, 13:00 Luxembourg time (T) + 5

Minimum subscription: € 500,000 share class I; € 1,500 share class R

Currency: USD

SFDR classification: The Fund promotes, among other features, the environmental or social characteristics set out in Article 8 of Regulation (EU) 2019/2088 on sustainability reporting in the financial services sector ("SFDR"). The Fund is not an Article 9 under SFDR (does not have sustainable investment as an objective).  For all information on the SFDR (Sustainable Finance Disclosure), please refer to Annex B of the Prospectus ("pre-contractual document"). 

The Fund is denominated in a currency other than the investor's base currency, changes in the exchange rate may have an adverse effect on the net asset value and performance.

Risk profile and inherent risks 

Risk factors: Investors should consider the specific risk warnings contained in section 6 of the Prospectus and more specifically those concerning: - Interest rate risk. - Credit risk. - Equity risk. - Emerging markets risk (including China). There is no pre-determined limitation to exposure to emerging markets. Emerging market risk may therefore be high at times. - Frontier market risk. - Foreign exchange risk. - Volatility risk. - Liquidity risk. - Derivatives risk. - Short exposure risk. - Distressed debt risk. - Securitised debt risk. - Contingent Capital Securities Risk ('CoCos').

Destination Value Total Return


Summary Risk Indicator: 3. Its purpose is to help investors understand the uncertainties associated with gains and losses that can impact their investment. 

The performance fee is calculated according to the "High Water Mark with performance fee benchmark" mechanism with a performance fee rate of 15.00% per annum of the positive return above the "SOFR Index" (the performance fee benchmark). The actual amount will vary depending on the performance of your investment. Tax aspects depend on the individual circumstances of each client and may change in the future. Please consult your financial advisor and your tax advisor for more details. Please refer to the countries of distribution and the website of the management company to find out if a class is available in your country and for your group of investors.

(#) Based on the latest KID - September 2023.

Important information:

This marketing communication is issued jointly by Plenisfer Investments SGR S.p.A. and Generali Investments Luxembourg S.A., authorised and regulated in Luxembourg by the Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier (CSSF). This document is prepared for professional investors and is not intended for distribution to retail clients.

This marketing document is distributed for information purposes only and is related to Plenisfer Investments SICAV, an open-ended investment company with variable capital under Luxembourg law, qualified as an undertaking for collective investment in transferable securities (UCITS) and its sub-fund Destination Value Total Return. Before making any investment decision, you are advised to read the PRIIPs KID, the Prospectus and the annual and semi-annual reports as soon as they become available. These documents are available in English and the KID in local language on the following website: Please note that the Management Company may decide to terminate the agreements made for the marketing of the Sub-Fund in accordance with Article 93a of Directive 2009/65/EC and Article 32a of Directive 2011/61/EU. For a summary of investor rights and guidelines on individual or collective redress for disputes over a financial product at EU level and in the investor's country of residence, please refer to the following links: and The summary is available in English or in a language authorised in the investor's country of residence. This communication does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. Please consult your tax and financial adviser to find out whether the Fund is suitable for your personal circumstances and to understand the associated tax risks and impacts. Tax treatment depends on the individual circumstances of each client and may be subject to change in the future. 

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The opinions expressed as to economic and market trends are those of the author and not necessarily those of Plenisfer Investments SGR S.p.A. The information and opinions contained in this document are for informational purposes only and do not purport to be complete or exhaustive. No reliance can be placed for any purpose on the information or opinions contained in this document or on its accuracy or completeness. The Investment Manager makes no representations, warranties or undertakings, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained in this document and accepts no responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of such information or options.

The opinions expressed in this presentation should not be regarded as investment advice, security recommendations or trading recommendations. There can be no assurance that any market forecast discussed will be realised or that market trends will continue. These opinions are subject to change at any time based on market and other conditions.

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Plenisfer Investments SGR S.p.A.
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